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Great Britain: IN or OUT?!

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Welcome to the KAS UK EU referendum webpage. Here, between now and the referendum, we will be providing regular updates, including our own reports and publications, opinion polls and predictions, information on the different parties and their positions, interesting quotes and links. We will also be providing additional information about the referendum process.

A referendum on whether the United Kingdom will stay or leave the European Union will be held on 23 June. The question is why.

Following the general election in May 2015, in which Prime Minister David Cameron’s Conservative Party won a majority in the House of Commons, he reiterated the party's manifesto commitment to hold an "in-out" referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union, following negotiations with EU leaders.

The Treaties of the European Union provide for a member state to leave the EU, either on the basis of a negotiated withdrawal agreement or without one. If the UK were to leave the EU following a referendum, it is likely that the Government would negotiate an agreement with the EU, which would probably contain transitional arrangements as well as provide for the UK’s long-term future relations with the EU. There is no precedent for such an agreement, but it would in all likelihood come at the end of complex and lengthy negotiations.

The referendums outcome is going to be a vital element in determining the future of the European Union.

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Reality Check: The EU referendum

Full text of EU’s special status deal for Britain

Letter by President Donald Tusk to the Members of the European Council on his proposal for a new settlement for the United Kingdom within the European Union

David Cameron's official Letter of list of demands to the EU Council President Donald Tusk

Donald Tusk's official letter to the European Council on the issue of a UK in/out referendum

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22.06.2016: What will happen if the UK leaves the EU?

21.06.2016: David Beckham backs remain 'for future of our children'

21.06.2016: Leavers are deceiving their voters about the pain that Europe could unleash on us after Brexit

20.06.2016: Sayeeda Warsi: leave tactics will create more divided and xenophobic UK

20.06.2016: Britain’s EU referendum: Divided we fall

20.06.2016: EU referendum: Which type of person wants to leave, and which type wants to remain?

14.06.2016: The arguments for voting Remain

07.06.2016: EU referendum: Fact checking the big claims

07.06.2016: Surge in voter registrations expected before EU referendum deadline

01.06.2016: EU referendum: Boris and Gove pledge tough new immigration system after Brexit

28.05.2016: Brexit and science: The European experiment

26.06.2015: Nearly two-thirds of voters think UK will remain in EU, Ashcroft poll finds

24.05.2016: EU Referendum: How will turnout affect the result?

19.05.2016: For Russia, Brexit would be an opportunity, not a tragedy

18.05.2016: Brexit would threaten world-class British research, major report warns

17.05.2016: EU referendum: David Cameron says Isis and Putin 'might be happy' with Brexit

17.05.2016: EU referendum: Leaked letter 'shows how Cameron plotted against Leave'

16.05.2016: Jeremy Corbyn 'would be campaigning for Brexit if he was not Labour leader', says long-time ally Tariq Ali

12.05.2016: Eurosceptic SNP voters could influence EU referendum result, polling data shows

10.05.2016: EU referendum: Iain Duncan Smith accused of 'lying' over German veto

10.05.2016: EU referendum campaigns to reveal biggest donors

10.05.2016: Iain Duncan Smith says Germany had 'veto' power over David Cameron EU deal

09.05.2016: Brexit could turn Irish border into new Calais, says EU commissioner

09.05.2016: EU referendum: Cameron warns UK exit could put peace at risk

09.05.2016: EU referendum: Europeans in Britain fear Brexit vote

09.05.2016: EU referendum: Second World War veterans come out against Brexit

08.05.2016: Brexit would hit house prices significantly, says George Osborne

05.05.2016: David Cameron and Boris Johnson take EU referendum fight to Countryfile

05.05.2016: Britain remaining in EU is 'better for the world', says Japanese prime minister

04.05.2016: EU referendum: Britons should not let concerns about migration from Turkey affect their vote, says David Cameron

03.05.2016: EU referendum: Workers’ rights will be watered down if Britain leaves EU, claims TUC

03.05.2016: Alistair Darling: leaving EU could put £250bn of UK export trade at risk

02.05.2016: EU referendum: Parties come together to make environmental case for staying in Europe

02.05.2016: David Cameron says friendship with Boris Johnson damaged by Brexit

02.05.2016: EU is central to tackling climate change, says Ed Miliband

Older Posts

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The EU Referendum Bill 2015

Change of wording in the EU Referendum question

After the Electoral Commission raised questions about the validity of the EU referendum question, David Cameron as well as the Parliament, decided to change the question over fears of bias.

Before the question was changed to a “leave or remain” response option it was a “yes or no” question.

The EU referendum campaign groups: who’s In and who’s Out?http://www.newstatesman.com/world/2015/10/eu-referendum-campaign-groups-who-s-and-who-s-out

IN-Campaign:

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http://www.theincampaign.co.uk/

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http://www.strongerin.co.uk/

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Supporting IN-Campaign:

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http://www.britishinfluence.org/

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http://euromove.org.uk/

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http://www.europeanmainstream.org.uk/

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http://www.conservativeeuropegroup.org.uk/

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http://www.euractiv.com/

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http://openeurope.org.uk/

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http://www.universitiesforeurope.com/Pages/Home.aspx#.Vheertowfcs

Other Pro-EU campaigns

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OUT-Campaign:

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http://www.voteleavetakecontrol.org/campaign

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https://leave.eu/

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Supporting OUT-Campaign:

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http://getbritainout.org/

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http://businessforbritain.org/

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http://campaignforanindependentbritain.org.uk/

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http://www.brugesgroup.com/

Older Posts

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New poll finds strong support for Boris Johnson to take over as Tory party leader

All ‘Brexit’ polls are wrong – But some are more wrong than others

Poll of the week (YouGov, 5 March): narrow lead for the Remain camp

‘Brexit’ could put data sharing in jeopardy

Britain, Europe and the world: Rethinking the UK’s circle of influence

How might the effect of Brexit on Ireland and Northern Ireland be managed?

Yougov‘s Eurosceptic map of Britain

Revealed: Two thirds of British voters are Eurosceptics - but they aren’t convinced we should leave

Poll of the Week (Open Europe/ComRes): If Cameron secures all his renegotiation demands, 65% of voters would choose to stay in the EU

EU Referendum poll tracker and odds

UK Polling Report |http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/category/europe

YouGov Survey Results

Latest opinion poll of polls - 10/06/16 - 18/06/16:

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Older Posts

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The UK EU Referendum which is likely to take place in 2016, and no later than the end of 2017 is not the first ‘in-out’ – ‘stay-leave’ vote held in the United Kingdom. On 23 January 1975, Prime Minister Harold Wilson announced that a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Economic Community (EEC) would be held within six months.

Britain, under Prime Minister Edward Heath had joined the EEC in January 1973 when the Treaty of Rome was signed. Labour's general election manifesto of October 1974 committed Labour to allow people the opportunity to decide whether Britain should stay in the Common Market on renegotiated terms, or leave it entirely.

Disquiet runs like a fault line through British public opinion from Parliament to the pub, and so it is that Prime Minister David Cameron has embarked upon a second European referendum campaign asking almost exactly the same question and for precisely the same reasons as his predecessor Harold Wilson in 1975.

He wants to hold his party together sufficiently to be able to run his government effectively, just as Wilson did 40 years ago. The main difference between then and now is that the trouble came previously from radicals who were mostly on the left, while the government's problems today are principally the go-it-alone nationalists who are mostly on the political right.

In the early Seventies, Labour was split over Europe. The parliamentary party was overwhelmingly in favour of Britain’s membership of the Common Market, but much of the rank and file wanted out. The prime minister announced that the government had decided to recommend a "yes" vote. But it emerged that the cabinet had split, with seven of its 23 members seeking withdrawal.

British voters have backed the UK's continued membership of the EEC by a large majority in the country's first nationwide referendum. Just over 67% of voters supported the Labour government's campaign to stay in the EEC, or Common Market, despite several cabinet ministers having come out in favour of British withdrawal.

Reconstructed Government Pamphlet advocating a vote to stay in the EEC

Seven lessons from Britain's EEC Referendum 1975

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The Brexit Briefs: Our Guide to the Britain's EU Referendum (The Economist)

Brexit: The Irish Dimension

EU referendum: HM Treasury analysis keyfacts

Brexit could derail US recovery

Domestic measures to safeguard national sovereignty: what options does the UK have?

The UK’S EU Referendum - What can the EU do to prevent a Brexit?

Brexit: What would happen if Britain voted to leave?

Is the UK a winner or loser in the EU Council?

Choosing our Future: Why the European Union is good for Business but how it should be better

Comprehensive opinion survey finds British voters deeply divided over EU membership

Views from the Continent

Open Europe poses ten questions for the EU referendum Remain and Leave campaigns

Arguments for an against EU Referendums

Older Posts

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Meet the sherpas: the key people quietly negotiating UK-EU reforms

Who's who in Britain's referendum?

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‘A compromise too far’: Iain Duncan Smith’s resignation letter in full

Boris Johnson joins campaign to leave EU

EU Referendum gives Liberals a chance to unite

Lord Lawson to lead Conservative campaign to leave EU

Nigel Farage could consider quitting Ukip to lead Britain out of Europe, says major Ukip donor

Pro-EU group hires top digital experts of Tories

Jeremy Corbyn: Labour will campaign for UK to stay in the EU

Nick Clegg sets up 'Open Reason' company as he eyes greater role in EU referendum

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EU referendum timeline: What will happen when?

What would happen if Britain left the EU?

What if...? The Consequences, challenges & opportunities facing Britain outside EU

Staying in reformed EU would boost British economy and jobs, report says

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The BBC's EU Referendum "Great Debate" - Questions on immigration, the economy & sovereignty

EU Referendum Debate - ITV: Boris Johnson, Gisela Stuart & Andrea Leadson vs Nicola Sturgeon, Amber Rudd & Angela Eagle

EU Referendum Debate - ITV: David Cameron & Nigel Farage

Older Posts

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