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UK General Election

Unterhauswahlen 2015

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Welcome to the KAS Great Britain Office General Election 2015 webpage. Here, between now and Election Day on 7 May, we will be providing regular updates, including our own reports and publications on the campaign, opinion polls and predictions, information on the different parties and their manifestos (as they become available) interesting quotes and links to the election debates. We will also be providing additional information about the British electoral system.

Reports and Publications

Auf des Messers Schneide... Wahlprognosen zur britischen Unterhauswahl by Andreas Storm, 17.04.15 (Report only available in German)

Wahlkampfhalbzeit in UK by Hans-Hartwig Blomeier, 17.04.15 (Report only available in German)

Der Countdown hat begonnen by Hans-Hartwig Blomeier, Ferris Storke, 01.04.15 (Report only available in German)

Opinion Polls

The link (see directly below) will take you to May2015.co.uk, a website published by the NewStatesman magazine. Their Poll of Polls keeps track of every polls being published by the UK's major pollsters - from YouGov to Ladbrookes, the bookmakers - and averages them over time, weighing them by everything from time to track record

Latest opinion poll and predictions

YouGov EU Referendum Poll

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Ipsos-MORI Scotland-Poll (29.04.15)

  • According to a recent Ipsos-MORI opinion poll, the SNP are on course to take all 59 Scottish seats. The poll has the SNP on 54%, Labour 20%, the Conservatives 17%, Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 2% und Ukip on 1%.
Ashcroft Poll (28.04.2015)

  • The latest Ashcroft poll has the Conservatives on 36%, Labour 30%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Ukip 11% and the Greens on 7%.
Guardian/ICM Poll (27.04.2015)

  • The most recent Guardian/ICM poll has the Conservatives on 35%, Labour 32%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Ukip 13% and the Greens on 5%.
YouGov/The Sun (21.04.2015)

  • The latest YouGov/The Sun opinion poll puts the Conservatives 35%, Labour on 34%, Liberal Democrats 7%, Ukip 13% and the Greens on 5%.
Guardian/ICM Poll (20.04.2015)

  • The most recent Guardian/ICM poll has the Conservatives on 34%, Labour 32%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Ukip 11% and the Greens on 5%.
YouGov Opinion Poll (19.04.2015)

  • New YouGov voting intention poll has Labour on 35%, Conservatives on 34%, Liberal Democrats on 8%, Ukip on 13% and the Greens on 5%.
YouGov/The Sun (13.04.2015)

  • The latest YouGov/The Sun opinion poll puts Labour on 34%, the Conservatives 33%, Liberal Democrats 8%, Ukip 13% and the Greens on 7%.
Guardian/ICM Poll (13.04.2015)

  • The most recent Guardian/ICM poll has the Conservatives on 39%, Labour 33%, Liberal Democrats 8%, Ukip 7% and the Greens on 7%.
TNS Scotland Poll (13.04.15)

  • New poll in Scotland put the SNP on 52%, Labour 24%, Conservative 13%, Liberal Democrats 6% and the Greens on 3%.
ComRes Opinion Poll (10.04.15)

  • The latest ComRes Poll puts the Tories on 34%, Labour 33%, Ukip 12%, Liberal Democrats 12% and the Greens on 4%.
YouGov Scotland Poll (08.04.15)

  • The latest Scotland polls sees SNP on 46%, Labour on 29%, Tories on 16%, Liberal Democrats on 3%, with 6% going to other parties.
Populus Opinion Poll (06.04.15)

  • The latest poll by Populus has Labour on 33%, Tories 31%, Ukip 15%, Liberal Democrats 10% and the Greens on 4%.
YouGov Election Poll (01.04.15)

  • The latest YouGov poll puts the Conservatives on 36%, Labour 34%, Ukip 13%, Liberal Democrats 8% the Greens on 4%.
Daily Telegraph Poll (31.03.2015)

  • The opinion poll put the Tories on 36%, Labour 34%, Ukip 10%, Liberal Democrats 6% the Green Party on 7%.
YouGov Poll (29.03.15)

  • The poll (following the first election debate) put Labour on 36% and the Tories on 32%.

Parties and Politicians

For a close look at the party leaders' constituencies, as well as those of potential leadership challengers, click on the links below.

Party Leaders' Constituencies

Leadership challengers' Constituencies

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BBC online have compiled the key policy positions of the main political parties (see link below).

Party positions on key issues

Media

Election Debates

Finally a more funny approach to the election: General Affection Song

Question Time Party Leaders' Special (full) (1 May 2015)

Challengers' Debate (full) (16 April 2015)

2. Scottish Leaders Debate (8 April 2015)

2. Election Debate (full) Seven party leaders (2 April 2015)

1. Election Debate (highlights) Ed Miliband vs David Cameron with Jeremy Paxman (26 March 2015)

1. Election Debate (fu

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ll) Ed Miliband vs David Cameron with Jeremy Paxman (26. March 2015)

Electoral System

How the British Electoral System works

How a UK General Election works

What if no-one wins the election?

Quotes of the Week

“Let me be plain. We're not going to do a deal with the Scottish National Party; we're not going to have a coalition, we're not going to have a deal. Let me just say this to you - if this meant we weren't going to be in government, not doing a coalition, not having a deal, then so be it. I am not going to sacrifice the future of our country, the unity of our country, I'm not going to give in to SNP demands around Trident, around the deficit, or anything like that”, Ed Miliband, 01.05.15

“If I'm getting lively about it it's because I feel bloody lively about it!”, David Cameron, 28.04.15

“Let me not mince my words: the SNP is a clear and present danger to our future. They will pit Scotland against England. That could be disastrous to the people of Scotland – and fatal to the UK as a whole.”, Sir John Major, 21.04.15

"You have the Chance to kick David Cameron out of Downing Street. Don't turn your back on it. People will never forgive you for it" - Nicola Sturgeon, 16.04.15

"We (Labour and the SNP) have profound differences. That is why I am not going to have a coalition with the SNP. I am not going to put at risk the unity of the United Kingdom. It's a No, I'm afraid" - Ed Miliband, 16.04.15

"The Liberal Democrats will add a heart to a Conservative government, and a brain to a Labour one!" - Nick Clegg, 15.04.15

“So you understand this and get it fully – I support him (Ed Miliband) 100% to lead our party to victory at the next election.” - Tony Blair, 07.04.15

"If you vote Tory you get broadband, if you vote Ukip you get Miliband." - Boris Johnson (Mayor of London and Parliamentary candidate), 02.04.15

"I do think when you look at what Ed Miliband really thinks, it is a very kind of Hampstead socialist, ‘we know best’ kind of view." - David Cameron, 31.03.15

"We are the only party saying Britain should have a trade relationship with Europe but not membership of the EU." - Nigel Farage, 31.03.15

Labour "would have to ditch Trident for our support" - Nicola Sturgeon, 31.03.15

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Hans-Hartwig Blomeier

Hans Blomeier

Head of the KAS office Mexico

hans.blomeier@kas.de +52 55 55664599
Foto: Wikipedia/Vaughan Leiberum Wikipedia/Vaughan Leiberum

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