Welcome to the KAS Great Britain Office General Election 2015 webpage. Here, between now and Election Day on 7 May, we will be providing regular updates, including our own reports and publications on the campaign, opinion polls and predictions, information on the different parties and their manifestos (as they become available) interesting quotes and links to the election debates. We will also be providing additional information about the British electoral system.
Reports and Publications
Auf des Messers Schneide... Wahlprognosen zur britischen Unterhauswahl by Andreas Storm, 17.04.15 (Report only available in German)
Wahlkampfhalbzeit in UK by Hans-Hartwig Blomeier, 17.04.15 (Report only available in German)
Der Countdown hat begonnen by Hans-Hartwig Blomeier, Ferris Storke, 01.04.15 (Report only available in German)
Opinion Polls
The link (see directly below) will take you to May2015.co.uk, a website published by the NewStatesman magazine. Their Poll of Polls keeps track of every polls being published by the UK's major pollsters - from YouGov to Ladbrookes, the bookmakers - and averages them over time, weighing them by everything from time to track record
Latest opinion poll and predictions
----
Ipsos-MORI Scotland-Poll (29.04.15)
- According to a recent Ipsos-MORI opinion poll, the SNP are on course to take all 59 Scottish seats. The poll has the SNP on 54%, Labour 20%, the Conservatives 17%, Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 2% und Ukip on 1%.
- The latest Ashcroft poll has the Conservatives on 36%, Labour 30%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Ukip 11% and the Greens on 7%.
- The most recent Guardian/ICM poll has the Conservatives on 35%, Labour 32%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Ukip 13% and the Greens on 5%.
- The latest YouGov/The Sun opinion poll puts the Conservatives 35%, Labour on 34%, Liberal Democrats 7%, Ukip 13% and the Greens on 5%.
- The most recent Guardian/ICM poll has the Conservatives on 34%, Labour 32%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Ukip 11% and the Greens on 5%.
- New YouGov voting intention poll has Labour on 35%, Conservatives on 34%, Liberal Democrats on 8%, Ukip on 13% and the Greens on 5%.
- The latest YouGov/The Sun opinion poll puts Labour on 34%, the Conservatives 33%, Liberal Democrats 8%, Ukip 13% and the Greens on 7%.
- The most recent Guardian/ICM poll has the Conservatives on 39%, Labour 33%, Liberal Democrats 8%, Ukip 7% and the Greens on 7%.
- New poll in Scotland put the SNP on 52%, Labour 24%, Conservative 13%, Liberal Democrats 6% and the Greens on 3%.
- The latest ComRes Poll puts the Tories on 34%, Labour 33%, Ukip 12%, Liberal Democrats 12% and the Greens on 4%.
- The latest Scotland polls sees SNP on 46%, Labour on 29%, Tories on 16%, Liberal Democrats on 3%, with 6% going to other parties.
- The latest poll by Populus has Labour on 33%, Tories 31%, Ukip 15%, Liberal Democrats 10% and the Greens on 4%.
- The latest YouGov poll puts the Conservatives on 36%, Labour 34%, Ukip 13%, Liberal Democrats 8% the Greens on 4%.
- The opinion poll put the Tories on 36%, Labour 34%, Ukip 10%, Liberal Democrats 6% the Green Party on 7%.
- The poll (following the first election debate) put Labour on 36% and the Tories on 32%.
Parties and Politicians
For a close look at the party leaders' constituencies, as well as those of potential leadership challengers, click on the links below.
Leadership challengers' Constituencies
----
BBC online have compiled the key policy positions of the main political parties (see link below).
-
Party Leader: David Cameron MP, Prime Minister
Political Position: Conservatism, Economic Liberalism
House of Commons: 304/650
-
Party Leader: Ed Miliband MP
Political Position: Social Democracy, Progressive
House of Commons: 255/650
-
Party Leader: Nick Clegg MP, Deputy Prime Minister
Political Position: Liberalism, Left-Liberalism
House of Commons: 52/650
-
Party Leader: Nicola Sturgeon MSP
Political Position: Separatism, Social Democracy, Nationalism
House of Commons: 6/650
-
Party Leader: Nigel Farage MEP
Political Position: Europscepticism, Rightwing Populism
House of Commons: 2/650
-
Party Leader: Leanne Wood AM
Political Position: Separatism, Social Democracy, Republicanism
House of Commons: 3/650
-
Party Leader: Natalie Bennett
Political Position: Green Politics, Eco-Socialism
House of Commons: 1/650
Media
- All the British parties are eurosceptic now, Financial Times, 03.05.15
- From Magna Carta to muddle - Britain needs a new settlement, Financial Times, 01.05.15
- Minority government will allow Miliband to call Sturgeon's bluff, The Guardian, 30.04.15
- General election 2015: why is Labour dominating polls in London?, The Guardian, 27.04.15
- Why the real election result could be voting reform, The Guardian, 24.04.15
- What happens if nobody can form a government, The Daily Telegraph, 21.04.2015
- Five things to know about the British election, Financial Times, 17.04.15
- A Scottish revolution is coming, and everyone’s losing their heads, The Spectator, 11.04.2015
- Transatlantic delusions of the Westminster Wing, FT Weekend, 11.04.2015
- Cameron and Miliband are all too predictable, FT Weekend, 11.04.2015
- The Tories’ wobble shows they don’t know how to fight Ed Miliband, The Guardian, 10.04.2015
- The Napoleonic truth about coalitions, The Guardian, 07.04.2015
- It is not just parliament’s buildings that require extensive renovation, The Guardian, 31.03.2015
Election Debates
Finally a more funny approach to the election: General Affection Song
Question Time Party Leaders' Special (full) (1 May 2015)
Challengers' Debate (full) (16 April 2015)
2. Scottish Leaders Debate (8 April 2015)
- 2. Scottish Leaders' Debate - Analysis (9 April 2015)
- 1. Scottish Leaders' Debate - Analysis and coverage (8 April 2015)
2. Election Debate (full) Seven party leaders (2 April 2015)
1. Election Debate (highlights) Ed Miliband vs David Cameron with Jeremy Paxman (26 March 2015)
1. Election Debate (fu
Electoral System
How the British Electoral System works
How a UK General Election works
What if no-one wins the election?
Quotes of the Week
“If I'm getting lively about it it's because I feel bloody lively about it!”, David Cameron, 28.04.15
“Let me not mince my words: the SNP is a clear and present danger to our future. They will pit Scotland against England. That could be disastrous to the people of Scotland – and fatal to the UK as a whole.”, Sir John Major, 21.04.15
"You have the Chance to kick David Cameron out of Downing Street. Don't turn your back on it. People will never forgive you for it" - Nicola Sturgeon, 16.04.15
"We (Labour and the SNP) have profound differences. That is why I am not going to have a coalition with the SNP. I am not going to put at risk the unity of the United Kingdom. It's a No, I'm afraid" - Ed Miliband, 16.04.15
"The Liberal Democrats will add a heart to a Conservative government, and a brain to a Labour one!" - Nick Clegg, 15.04.15
“So you understand this and get it fully – I support him (Ed Miliband) 100% to lead our party to victory at the next election.” - Tony Blair, 07.04.15
"If you vote Tory you get broadband, if you vote Ukip you get Miliband." - Boris Johnson (Mayor of London and Parliamentary candidate), 02.04.15
"I do think when you look at what Ed Miliband really thinks, it is a very kind of Hampstead socialist, ‘we know best’ kind of view." - David Cameron, 31.03.15
"We are the only party saying Britain should have a trade relationship with Europe but not membership of the EU." - Nigel Farage, 31.03.15
Labour "would have to ditch Trident for our support" - Nicola Sturgeon, 31.03.15
