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„The Threshold for Family Formation Has Risen“

Interview with Professor Anna Rotkirch on declining fertility rates, the role of partnerships, and the conditions needed to help people realize their family intentions

Why are fewer and fewer people having children? Anna Rotkirch, Research Professor and Director at Väestöliitto, the Family Federation of Finland, examines the reasons behind declining birth rates and the growing barriers to family formation in Europe. She recommends looking beyond established family policy measures and paying greater attention to the conditions that shape people’s decisions about having children.

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Across Europe, starting a family is increasingly being postponed, and fewer people are making the transition to parenthood. Anna Rotkirch argues that the threshold for family formation has risen: first relationships are more likely to end before leading to parenthood, while the lack of a suitable partner has become a major barrier for people who want children. Digitalization and changing patterns of social interaction may contribute to weaker relationships, greater uncertainty, and growing hesitation about starting a family. At the same time, socioeconomic inequalities in family formation appear to be widening.

In our interview, Rotkirch explains why supporting people who want children requires looking beyond established family policies and addressing the conditions that shape family formation before a child is born. Drawing on the Finnish experience, she discusses innovative approaches such as Vauvasampo (“The Future Parents Fund”), a proposal to invest €5,000 at the birth of every child, with the accumulated assets paid out when that person later becomes a parent. Rotkirch argues that no single policy measure can restore fertility rates to replacement level. Instead, ageing societies need long-term institutional support to help people realize their family intentions. This requires sustained commitment not only from policymakers, but also from employers and society as a whole.

 

Read the full interview, “The Threshold for Family Formation Has Risen,” with Professor Anna Rotkirch – available here as a PDF in English.

 

This interview was conducted on 11 August 2026 by Natalie Klauser and Jacques Hermes.

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Contact Natalie Klauser
Natalie Klauser
Demographic change and social policy
natalie.klauser@kas.de +49 30 26996-3746

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