Climate financing is a recurring topic in annual negotiations at UN climate conferences. Views differ on what it means, however. Nonetheless, agreement on an understanding of climate finance would be a crucial step in order to promote the instrument itself. Time is running short: The UN estimates that developing countries will need at least USD 6 trillion by 2030 to achieve half of their national climate targets.
Focusing on more and more public funding will not solve the global energy transition though. For more private capital to be committed to developing and emerging countries, however, the underlying conditions have to be right. Systemic risks continue to constrain the commitment of financial resources there.
At the same time, there is a need to place a greater focus on adaptation. Although it is assigned overriding importance in the Paris Agreement, financing in developing countries lies below the threshold required to enable an effective response to climate change, while the financing gap is growing. However, the risk of corruption is also mounting as amounts of financial resources involved continue to rise. The effectiveness of climate finance hinges not only on the amount of money committed, but also on good governance and accountable institutions.
China's financial participation in the multilateral climate fund would also be pivotal for a fairer energy transition. But because Beijing clings to its status as a developing country, it sees no reason to make such a move. However, the United Arab Emirates' pledge at COP28 to pay into the fund for loss and damage could put China on the spot and possibly initiate a paradigm shift in international climate finance with a view to the post-2025 financing target.
