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Trump 2.0 - The Political Comeback

by Dr. Hardy Ostry, Jan Bösche

A Clear Majority of Voters Has Given Donald Trump a Second Chance

According to most pollsters, the election result was expected to be close, but the predicted deadlock did not materialize. Donald Trump won the presidential election on November 5, 2024, surprisingly quickly and decisively. His “Make America Great Again” message resonated with an electorate that is not experiencing the economic upturn, is suffering from high price increases, and is fearful of foreign infiltration. Vice President Kamala Harris failed to convince a majority that she could credibly represent a new beginning despite her disciplined election campaign. The secret of Trump’s unexpected success lies in his ability to attract new voter groups for the Republicans by focusing on issues that are deeply concerning to these groups, as well as his truly unique way of communicating.

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Trump’s Electorate

 

Post-election polls show that Donald Trump has broadened his support over the years. In addition to the voter groups that have long predominantly supported him (male, white, rural, no college degree), he has also gained votes from other groups (younger, African-American, Latin American, self-identified moderates).

 

 

The full-length publication is only available in German.

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Dr. Hardy Ostry

Dr

Head of the Washington, D.C. office

hardy.ostry@kas.de

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