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Can Great Britain Save the West?

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is pursuing a dual strategy: he aims to take a leadership role in Europe's security and defence repositioning while also convincing the Trump administration to remain militarily engaged in Europe. The United Kingdom is to act as a bridge between an increasingly unpredictable White House and a Europe unsettled by Trump's rapprochement with Russia. This was the context of his visit to Washington at the end of February, as well as the summit he convened in London with leading heads of state and government under the title "Securing our Future."

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An Extraordinary Relationship in Extraordinary Times

Starmer's visit to Washington was widely regarded as a success across the media and even by the opposition. The Prime Minister was well aware of the challenges posed by his meeting with Trump, had prepared thoroughly, and did not arrive in Washington empty-handed.

At the opening press conference, Keir Starmer handed his host an official invitation from King Charles for a second state visit. In the tradition of the British monarchy, this is indeed unprecedented. This episode highlights two key aspects of the British Prime Minister's strategy. Firstly, it underscored the "Special Relationship" between the two countries. Secondly, by extending the invitation, he placed personal relationships at the heart of his diplomacy, making it clear from the outset that his approach was not one of confrontation but rather rapprochement and persuasion of Trump, who now seems to be moving in a direction diametrically opposed to the values and interests traditionally associated with the West.

For London, this development is particularly delicate, as it had increasingly relied on a close partnership with the US following Brexit. To underline the UK's relevance, Prime Minister Starmer took two concrete steps to demonstrate that London is willing to assume leadership responsibility for Europe's security. He announced ahead of his visit that the defence budget would be increased to 2.5% of GDP by 2027 – three years earlier than planned. In the long term, it is even expected to reach three per cent. Against internal opposition, Starmer decided to fund this increase through cuts to international development aid. He also declared that the United Kingdom would deploy a troop contingent to help secure a ceasefire in Ukraine. In Washington, he reaffirmed this commitment, skilfully linking it to the importance and necessity of American support. The message was clear: Britain would do everything in its power to fulfil its responsibilities but also relied on its closest ally to do the same.

On bilateral issues, Prime Minister Starmer was even able to return home with tangible results. He secured US support for the return of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius. US politicians had previously warned that the handover could endanger national security, as Diego Garcia hosts one of America's most important military bases. An equally significant and unexpectedly positive development emerged in trade policy. A new economic agreement focused on potential AI applications is set to be negotiated swiftly, rendering previously threatened tariffs by Trump unnecessary.

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lukas.wick@kas.de +44 20 783441-19

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The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung is a political foundation. Our offices abroad are in charge of over 200 projects in more than 120 countries. The country reports offer current analyses, exclusive evaluations, background information and forecasts - provided by our international staff.

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