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The start of a Labour era?

by Matthias Barner, Lukas Wick

Dramatic defeat of the Tories in parliamentary elections in the United Kingdom

The Conservative Party under the previous Prime Minister Rishi Sunak was the big loser of the election. They lost 251 parliamentary seats, and with a vote share of 24.7%, they will only be represented by 121 seats in the British House of Commons in the future. On the winning side, a clear picture emerged: the Labour Party gained 211 seats and, with a vote share of 33.7%, will form the government with a total of 412 seats. Other winners included the Liberal Democrats, who, with 72 seats and 12.2%, achieved their best result in over 100 years. The right-wing populist Reform UK also made a statement with 14.3% of the vote, although they received only five mandates due to the British first-past-the-post system. The new government under Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces enormous challenges in domestic and foreign policy. The British Conservatives must first deal with a personnel and strategic party reboot in the opposition.

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In the recent general elections in the United Kingdom, the Labour Party, led by Keir Starmer, won an overwhelming majority with 412 seats, while the Conservative Party shrank to 121 seats. Prominent Tories such as Grant Shapps and Penny Mordaunt lost their constituencies. Voter turnout was only 60%. Labour also benefited from the UK's first-past-the-post electoral system, despite achieving only a marginal increase in votes. Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, received 14.3% of the votes but only five seats, while the Liberal Democrats achieved their best result since 1923 with 72 seats. The SNP suffered losses and now holds only nine seats. The electoral system led to a disproportionate distribution of seats, reigniting the debate about its fairness.

Keir Starmer assumed office as Prime Minister, focusing on strong foreign and European policies, including participation in the NATO summit and the European Political Community. The Labour government does not plan to rejoin the customs union or the single market but seeks closer cooperation with the EU. Domestically, Labour aims to implement fundamental reforms in the areas of economy, social policy, education, and governance. Initial measures include ending the controversial "Rwanda plan" for deporting illegal migrants. The Conservative Party faces a comprehensive reorientation and the election of new leadership to restore its political credibility and governing capability.

The Labour Party will be judged on its ability to effectively solve the country's problems. The challenges are significant, and the government will be measured by its ability to meet the expectations of its diverse voter coalition. The future of the Conservative Party and its ability to establish itself as an effective opposition will significantly influence whether Labour can start a new political era.

The full-lenght publication is only available in German.

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Dr. Canan Atilgan

Dr. Canan Atilgan

Head of International Office United Kingdom and Ireland

canan.atilgan@kas.de +44 (0)20 7834 4119
Contact

Lukas Wick

Lukas Wick Portrait

Project Manager/ Research Associate

lukas.wick@kas.de +44 20 783441-19

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