In view of the complex domestic and foreign policy problems, the political climate of opinion is characterised by uncertainty and dissatisfaction. Whether future prospects, economic assessments, opinions about parties and leading politicians, disappointment with the ‘traffic light’ coalition, attributions of competence to the parties or even their own economic situation, opinions are more sceptical everywhere than in 2021, with great dissatisfaction dominating in some cases. This has led to considerable losses for the ‘traffic light’ parties. Among the political centre parties only the CDU/CSU parties were able to make gains. Compared to the pre-election, the CDU/CSU increased its competence in all the problem areas surveyed. The greatest increase in competence was in the area of economic policy.
The political public tends to be more fragmented. This is particularly evident in the assessment of the parties' leading candidates. Beyond their own supporters, approval of politicians is low, whereas it is high among their own supporters. The motives for voting are heterogeneous. There is no issue that is rated similarly by large sections of the electorate.
Once again, the increased voter turnout has benefited the political fringes. Compared to 2021, the German electorate is significantly more differentiated and polarised.
The election analysis for the Bundestag election can be found here.
Please note, to date the study is only available in German.