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Country reports

Regime Change in Syria

by Dr. Edmund Ratka, Layan Ounis

Consequences for Jordan and Iraq

After the fall of Assad in Damascus, Jordan and Iraq are looking for a way to deal with the new regime. An optimistic pragmatism prevails in Amman, a skeptical one in Baghdad. The greatest potential lies in a joint regional approach.

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The fall of the Assad regime marks a turning point not only for Syria, but for the entire Middle East. In Amman and Baghdad, the new Islamist rulers in Damascus are viewed with some skepticism. In addition, both neighbours share concerns about the destabilization and fragmentation of Syria. However, Jordan in particular also sees this as an opportunity to build good neighborly relations, which can then serve its own security and economic interests. In Iraq mistrust of the Syrian interim president Ahmed Al-Sharaa, who once operated there for the terrorist organization Al-Qaeda, runs deep. In addition, pro-Iranian forces, which have supported the Assad for a long time, remain a domestic power factor in Iraq. Nevertheless, a pragmatic approach of engaging the new leadership in Syria is emerging. A consistent regional strategy, that is internationally supported, could help to create an environment that increases the chances of success for the complex and precarious transition in Syria.

 

The full-length publication is only available in German.

 

 

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Dr. Edmund Ratka

Dr

Director Foundation Office Jordan

edmund.ratka@kas.de +962 6 5929777

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