Under the Radar. The World’s Forgotten Crises

Under the Radar. The World’s Forgotten Crises

• Editorial of the issue “Under the Radar. The World’s Forgotten Crises”

  Hamas’ attack on Israel and its ramifications, as well as Russia’s war against Ukraine, have shaped foreign policy discussions in Germany in the last two years. There are reasons for this: the attack on Israel, in October 2023, hit a state for whose security our country quite rightly feels particularly responsible. In turn, Russia’s attack on Ukraine poses a direct threat to the security of Germany and Europe. Both states, Israel and Ukraine, are confronted with adversaries that threaten their very existence. Nevertheless, it is important not to lose sight of other crises.

  by Gerhard Wahlers

• Why the Kosovo Conflict Continues to Smoulder

  One History, Two Narratives

  The tense situation in the region results from a century-long conflict between Serbs and Kosovo Albanians. For some, the Battle of Kosovo on 28 June 1389 was a painful defeat for Serbian national heroes against the Ottoman invaders; for others, it was just one of many events in their own history. For some, the NATO intervention of 1999 was a blessing and a starting point for achieving independence, while for others it was an act of aggression against a sovereign country in violation of international law. As is so often the case, black-and-white thinking is inadequate in this conflict. Rather, shades of grey best describe the responsibility for the current situation.

  by Jakov Devčić, Daniel Braun

• “Great Game” in the South Caucasus

  How Internal and External Factors Are Fuelling Tensions in the Region

  Scarcely any other region is so directly impacted by the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East as the South Caucasus. It is as if they have plunged Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia into a permanent crisis mode, after years of “stagnant stability” had already been shaken in 2020 with the second Nagorno-Karabakh war. Since then, the South Caucasus has been in a state of unrest. The causes are complex, the landscape of players is confusing, and forecasts would require a crystal ball.

  by Stephan Malerius

• The Unnoticed War in Sudan

  From Spring to Tragedy

  In less than 18 months, the war in Sudan has developed into the greatest humanitarian catastrophe of our era. At the same time, Germany and Europe are completely preoccupied with the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. Nevertheless, German policymakers have an objective interest in stabilising the situation in Sudan and counteracting a further increase in migratory pressure on Europe’s borders.

  by Steffen Krüger, Gregory Meyer, Nils Wörmer

• On the Ongoing Conflict in Eastern Congo

  Many Players and No Solution

  War-like conditions have prevailed in the east of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for more than 30 years. The ensuing humanitarian disaster has cost several million lives to date and led to a new record number of internally displaced persons in 2024. But what is the background to the conflict? Which players shape it? And why is there still no end in sight?

  by Jakob Kerstan

• On the Political Situation in Myanmar

  A Country against the Military

  Early February 2025 will mark the fourth anniversary of the military coup against the democratically elected government of Myanmar. Armed resistance has formed in large parts of the country and is spearheaded by the People’s Defence Force and several ethnic armed organisations. Resistance and opposition movements have gained momentum in a series of military victories; albeit debates about a “post-military” state are premature.

  by Moritz Fink, Saw Kyaw Zin Khay

• The Forgotten Crisis in Cuba

  From Myth to Drama

  The Cuban crisis has been going on for decades. One low point follows the next. The mass exodus is bleeding the socialist “paradise” in the Caribbean dry, and every relevant development speaks against the survival of the repressive party dictatorship, which, however, stubbornly clings on to power. New geopolitical alliances could even prop up the regime, but there will not be much left of the population.

  by Maximilian Strobel

• South Asia’s (Almost) Forgotten Climate Crisis and Europe’s Responsibility

  The New Normal

  South Asia is particularly vulnerable to climate change and is thus frequently affected by heatwaves and extreme weather events – a situation that will only deteriorate. Local governments are addressing this challenge, but national efforts alone will not suffice. The region affords a great opportunity for green development, but is also characterised by poverty, poor governance and conflict. It is both a moral imperative and realist policy for the great historical polluters, such as Europe, to support South Asia in mitigating and adapting to climate change.

  by Frederick Kliem, Timm Anton

• Crisis of International Law?

  A Call for Better Expectation Management

  International law is unable to end the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine or the conflict in the Middle East. Overall, doubts about its capabilities are growing. International law, they say, is “in crisis”. But is international law really so ineffective? Is it not more a case of adapted expectation management and greater political will?

  by Franziska Rinke, Philipp Bremer